Thursday, November 5, 2009
Pirates of The Mediterranean
Wednesday, May 6, 2009
Rising to Obama's Challenge. . .

The current whirlwind of international diplomacy in the Middle East may deliver little or nothing, but at least it is putting local participants on their toes and pushing them to show some initiative. And for all the talk of the decline of US influence, this dynamism is prompted primarily by the willingness of the US administration to work all the difficult tracks at once, from a drawdown in Iraq and engagement of Iran to the overture to Syria and movement on the Israeli-Palestinian front.
If the approach is new and ambitious, the overarching theme of US policy remains vague. The region has heard a lot from Barack Obama about respect, a laudable principle, and engagement, which is a method, not an objective. Enough has been done to change the atmospherics. What is needed now is a major policy pronouncement that describes the US regional goal, explains how Washington will achieve it and puts the onus on Middle Eastern players.
Understandably, this may have to wait for the conclusion of the current consultations between the US and its Middle Eastern allies. George Mitchell, the US peace envoy, has visited the region several times. King Abdullah of Jordan was the first Arab leader to visit the White House: the Egyptian, Palestinian and Israeli leaders will follow soon. Dennis Ross, the senior adviser on Iran, is on a tour of the Gulf states to reassure them that no sell-out to Iran is in the works. By mid-June, the Lebanese and Iranian elections will further clarify the regional balance of power, and on Barack Obama’s first visit to Israel and Palestine as president he is expected to lay out his peace vision.
Mr Obama is undoubtedly reflecting on the record of his predecessors. During the Clinton administration the view was that Arab-Israeli peace would profoundly transform the region. The problem was that it viewed the Middle East through the narrowest lens, with Mr Clinton missing the rise and meaning of political Islam and its violent streak, oblivious to the region’s economic and political backwardness. The US put Iraq and Iran in the freezer, a policy known as dual containment. The Clinton approach turned most Arab states into free riders, not asking them to do much to ensure their own stability and progress.
The difficulty for an eager Obama diplomacy is to orchestrate all these tracks at once, manage the subtle shifts they induce and counter perceptions of retreat and weakness. Beneath the shower of praise that Mr Obama is receiving from Syrian officials, the prospect of US engagement with Iran has made Syria jittery. Damascus would have preferred progress on normalisation with Washington first to cash in on the perception that prying Syria away can weaken Iran, just as it would have liked priority for the Syrian-Israeli track over the Israeli-Palestinian one.
The Obama approach does not necessarily imply a redefinition of US interests, with the notable exception of Iraq. Many local actors will bemoan this, but the reality is that there is consensus in Washington on most issues. US desires and diktats need not prevail, but for this to happen, Middle East actors will have to show more flexibility and originality.
Monday, April 13, 2009
Saturday, April 4, 2009
Tuesday, March 17, 2009
An Israeli ‘settlement freeze’ is an all-too-frequent ruse

And so, throughout the 1980s, settlements and roads continued to be built, with the West Bank settler population reaching 90,000 by 1991, and the number in the Jerusalem area having grown to more than 137,000. In that year, there was another agreed-upon “settlement freeze”. In the lead up to the Madrid peace conference, the US Secretary of State James Baker, seeking an exchange of confidence-building measures, convinced Arab states to suspend their secondary boycott of Israel and to participate in an international peace conference in exchange for Israel’s agreement to a freeze.
With the signing of the Oslo Accords, in 1993, Israel and the Palestinians agreed to refrain from any actions that might “prejudice the final outcome” – understood to be yet another commitment by Israel to stop building settlements and roads throughout the occupied territories. Despite this, the most rapid construction and expansion of both occurred during the “peace years” of the 1990s. By the end of that decade, the settler population doubled and the West Bank was further carved up by a security-enhanced “Jewish only” highway system connecting the settlements to each other and Israel proper.
There were other efforts to stop settlements. President George HW Bush, in an effort to put a price-tag on Israeli non-compliance, announced that each year he would deduct from loan guarantees that the US was providing Israel, an amount equal to what Israel spent on settlement construction. This practice was continued by President Clinton. The Clinton Administration also attempted to put brakes on then-prime minister Netanyahu’s efforts to construct a new settlement near Bethlehem. After a short halt, plans continued. Today, “Har Homa”, as it is called, hosts 19,000 settlers. Even President George W Bush criticised settlement growth and maintained that, under the “Road Map”, Israel was obligated to freeze settlements.
Those who want to see a two-state solution cannot continue to accept – and reward – this bad behaviour. If we are serious about two states (and some may not be), it is time to call not for a new freeze, but for a removal of settlements.
Saturday, March 14, 2009
Kaffiyehs are now ‘as Palestinian as wonton soup’

“It the saddest thing that kaffiyehs are now mostly made outside and in all these different colours,” Ms Freij said. “This is our symbol. It’s almost a trademark. To see something like the kaffiyeh being mainly an import is hard to bear.”
